ABSTRACT
In Mexico, the BA.4 and BA.5 Omicron variants dominated the fifth epidemic wave (summer 2022), superseding BA.2, which had circulated during the inter-wave period. The present study uses genome sequencing and statistical and phylogenetic analyses to examine these variants’ prevalence, distribution, and genetic diversity in Mexico from April to August 2022. Over 35% of the sequenced genomes in this period corresponded to the BA.2 variant, 8% to the BA.4, and 56% to the BA.5 variant. Multiple subvariants were identified, but only BA.2.9, BA.2.12.1, BA.5.1, BA.5.2, BA.5.2.1, and BA.4.1 circulated throughout the fifth wave across the entire country, not forming geographical clusters. Contrastingly, other subvariants exhibited a geographically restricted distribution, most notably in the Southeast region, which showed a distinct subvariant dynamic. This study supports previous results showing that this region may be a major entry point and may have contributed to the introduction and evolution of novel variants in Mexico. Furthermore, a differential distribution was observed for certain subvariants among specific States throughout time, which may have contributed to the overall increased diversity observed during this wave compared to the previous one. This study highlights the importance of sustaining genomic surveillance to identify novel variants that may impact public health.
Subject(s)
COVID-19ABSTRACT
Up to November 2021, over 200 different SARS-CoV-2 lineages circulated in Mexico. To investigate lineage replacement dynamics, we applied a phylodynamic approach to explore the evolutionary trajectories of five dominant lineages that circulated during the first year of the local epidemic. For most lineages, peaks in sampling frequencies coincided with different epidemiological waves of infection in the country. Lineages B.1.1.222 and B.1.1.519 showed comparable dynamics, represented by clades likely originating in Mexico and persisting for over a year. Lineages B.1.1.7, P.1 and B.1.617.2 also displayed similar dynamics, characterized by multiple introduction events leading to a few successful extended local transmission chains that persisted for several months. We further explored viral movements across the country, applied within the largest clades identified (belonging to lineage B.1.617.2). Many clades were located within the south region of the country, suggesting that this area played a key role in the spread of SARS-CoV-2 in Mexico.